MX23RW : Sunday, October 6 01:13:36| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 1
Feb 3, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Llanelian Road

Colwyn Bay
1 - 2
Pen-y-Bont

Hill (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Venables (45'), McFayden (55')
Jefferies (50')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Colwyn Bay and Pen-y-Bont.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colwyn Bay 2-3 Pontypridd
Saturday, January 13 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 0-1 Connah's Quay
Saturday, January 13 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 51.41%. A win for Colwyn Bay had a probability of 26.29% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.63%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Colwyn Bay win was 2-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Pen-y-Bont in this match.

Result
Colwyn BayDrawPen-y-Bont
26.29% (0.105 0.11) 22.29% (0.192 0.19) 51.41% (-0.306 -0.31)
Both teams to score 62.22% (-0.606 -0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.42% (-0.84500000000001 -0.85)37.57% (0.835 0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.19% (-0.91 -0.91)59.81% (0.90199999999999 0.9)
Colwyn Bay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.05% (-0.372 -0.37)26.94% (0.362 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.72% (-0.486 -0.49)62.28% (0.476 0.48)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.17% (-0.404 -0.4)14.83% (0.394 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.87% (-0.767 -0.77)43.13% (0.758 0.76)
Score Analysis
    Colwyn Bay 26.29%
    Pen-y-Bont 51.41%
    Draw 22.29%
Colwyn BayDrawPen-y-Bont
2-1 @ 6.56% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
1-0 @ 5.24% (0.156 0.16)
2-0 @ 3.44% (0.068 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.87% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.5% (0.015 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.94% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 26.29%
1-1 @ 10% (0.161 0.16)
2-2 @ 6.26% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4% (0.159 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.74% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.29%
1-2 @ 9.54% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.63% (0.2 0.2)
0-2 @ 7.28% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
1-3 @ 6.07% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-3 @ 4.63% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.98% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-4 @ 2.9% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-4 @ 2.21% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.9% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-5 @ 1.11% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 4.17%
Total : 51.41%

Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
Colwyn Bay
2-1
Pen-y-Bont
Hill (68'), Akpan (75')
Downey (34'), Hart (66'), Owens (84'), Smith (90+6')
Reffell (45+2')
Richards (90+5')
Sep 9, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
Pen-y-Bont
0-1
Colwyn Bay

Jones (85'), Reynolds (86'), Harling (88'), Owen (90+8'), Owen (90')
Downes (76')
Jones (32'), Edwards (56')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont118211951426
2Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest11632134921
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU116231711620
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon105231712517
5Bala TownBala Town114431612416
6The New SaintsNew Saints75022071315
7Newtown AFCNewtown114341523-815
8Barry Town UnitedBarry113441218-613
9Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay103251412211
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town113171318-510
11Briton Ferry9126821-135
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth11119526-214


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