MX23RW : Saturday, January 18 03:40:42| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 19
Dec 16, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Park Hall Stadium

New Saints
3 - 0
Pen-y-Bont

Williams (1'), Pask (81'), McManus (88')
Redmond (36'), Baker (60'), Davies (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Brown (45+1'), Reffell (61'), Davies (70')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between The New Saints and Pen-y-Bont.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-3 New Saints
Tuesday, November 28 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 0-2 Bala Town
Saturday, December 2 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 71.6%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 12.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.41%) and 3-1 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.7%), while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 1-2 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
The New SaintsDrawPen-y-Bont
71.6% (-0.22199999999999 -0.22) 15.72% (0.072000000000001 0.07) 12.68% (0.15 0.15)
Both teams to score 61.3% (0.212 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.48% (0.042000000000002 0.04)27.52% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.86% (0.052 0.05)48.14% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.21% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)6.79% (0.03 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.94% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)25.06% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.76% (0.248 0.25)34.24% (-0.248 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.07% (0.263 0.26)70.93% (-0.26300000000001 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    The New Saints 71.6%
    Pen-y-Bont 12.68%
    Draw 15.72%
The New SaintsDrawPen-y-Bont
2-1 @ 9.01% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.41% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-1 @ 8.08% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.54% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-0 @ 6.25% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 5.43% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 5.07% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 4.33% (0.025 0.03)
5-1 @ 2.92% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.91% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.73% (-0.031 -0.03)
5-2 @ 1.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
6-1 @ 1.31% (-0.008 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.22% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-3 @ 1.04% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 71.6%
1-1 @ 6.7% (0.017 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.83% (0.036 0.04)
0-0 @ 2.33% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 15.72%
1-2 @ 3.59% (0.033 0.03)
0-1 @ 2.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.73% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.34% (0.015 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.28% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 12.68%

Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Pen-y-Bont
1-4
New Saints
Venables (8')
Venables (34'), Harling (60'), Kircough (90+1')
Yorwerth (28')
Young (51', 57'), Brobbel (67', 83')
Williams (34')
Apr 8, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Pen-y-Bont
2-5
New Saints
Reffell (55'), Wood (85')
McManus (31', 72'), Redmond (39'), Baker (71'), Davies (80')
Feb 25, 2023 12.45pm
Gameweek 3
New Saints
1-1
Pen-y-Bont
Smith (18')
Wood (81' pen.)
Nov 19, 2022 5.15pm
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
New Saints
1-0
Pen-y-Bont
Brobbel (90+1')
Redmond (56')

Owen (30')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!