Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Preliminary Round | 1st Leg
Mar 20, 2024 at 10pm UK
Stade de Marrakech
Djibouti0 - 2Liberia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Eq Guinea 1-1 Djibouti
Tuesday, January 9 at 2pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, January 9 at 2pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Liberia 0-1 Eq Guinea
Monday, November 20 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Monday, November 20 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
We said: Djibouti 0-1 Liberia
Liberia are the better side in this fixture and should edge this fixture. The game will be played in a neutral ground in Morocco, which means home support will be limited for Djibouti. However, it should be a close game as the hosts have improved since their last meeting. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liberia win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Djibouti had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liberia win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.41%) and 0-2 (5.56%). The likeliest Djibouti win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liberia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Djibouti | Draw | Liberia |
34.91% ( 0) | 22.95% ( -0) | 42.14% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 65.11% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
