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Bundesliga | Gameweek 1
Aug 24, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
Stuttgart

Freiburg
3 - 1
Stuttgart

Kubler (26', 61'), Doan (54')
Adamu (41'), Lienhart (57')
FT(HT: 1-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osnabruck 0-4 Freiburg
Saturday, August 17 at 2.30pm in DFB-Pokal

We said: Freiburg 2-2 Stuttgart

The arrival of new boss Schuster could be a welcome boost for Freiburg, and they could continue to benefit from his fresh ideas. Stuttgart could also have a hangover from their penalty-shootout defeat last week against Bayer Leverkusen, and it would not be surprising if they dropped points on their opening matchday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 49.57%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.4%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
FreiburgDrawStuttgart
28.6% (0.353 0.35) 21.83% (0.136 0.14) 49.57% (-0.486 -0.49)
Both teams to score 66.02% (-0.232 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.55% (-0.41799999999999 -0.42)33.45% (0.421 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.76% (-0.48 -0.48)55.24% (0.483 0.48)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.73% (0.007000000000005 0.01)23.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.8% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)57.2% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.04% (-0.307 -0.31)13.96% (0.31 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.56% (-0.608 -0.61)41.44% (0.611 0.61)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 28.6%
    Stuttgart 49.57%
    Draw 21.83%
FreiburgDrawStuttgart
2-1 @ 6.8% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
1-0 @ 4.74% (0.105 0.11)
2-0 @ 3.45% (0.077 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.3% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.25%
3-0 @ 1.68% (0.038 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.2% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 28.6%
1-1 @ 9.32% (0.102 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.69% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 3.25% (0.071 0.07)
3-3 @ 2.14% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 21.83%
1-2 @ 9.18% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 6.4% (0.069 0.07)
0-2 @ 6.3% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 6.03% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-3 @ 4.39% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-3 @ 4.13% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-4 @ 2.97% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-4 @ 2.16% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-4 @ 2.04% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-5 @ 1.17% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-4 @ 1.05% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 49.57%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Stuttgart

Freiburg
23.4%
Draw
14.9%
Stuttgart
61.7%
47
Head to Head
Feb 3, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Freiburg
1-3
Stuttgart
Kubler (45+11')
Streich (21'), Ginter (41'), Eggestein (45+4'), Kubler (90'), Philipp (90+9')
Rohl (18')
Undav (3'), Fuhrich (7'), Mittelstadt (74')
Mittelstadt (72'), Stiller (90+9')
Sep 2, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Stuttgart
5-0
Freiburg
Fuhrich (8', 62'), Guirassy (17', 19'), Millot (75')
Ito (38')

Philipp (86')
Feb 11, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Freiburg
2-1
Stuttgart
Grifo (60' pen., 84' pen.)
Fuhrich (30')
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Stuttgart
0-1
Freiburg

Sosa (15'), Fuhrich (28'), Ahamada (46'), Mavropanos (90+8')
Grifo (11')
Sallai (28'), Keitel (84')
Jan 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Freiburg
2-0
Stuttgart
Ito (37' og.), Schade (72')
Hofler (24')

Sosa (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Heidenheim22006066
2Bayern MunichBayern22005236
3RB Leipzig22004226
4Borussia DortmundDortmund21102024
5Union BerlinUnion Berlin21102114
6Wolfsburg21014313
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach21014313
8Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen21015503
9Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt21013303
10Freiburg21013303
11Hoffenheim210145-13
12Mainz 05Mainz20204402
13Werder Bremen20202202
14Stuttgart201146-21
15Augsburg201126-41
16Holstein Kiel200225-30
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum200203-30
18St Pauli200203-30


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