MX23RW : Monday, March 10 02:00:18| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 23
Feb 22, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Holstein-Stadion
Leverkusen logo

Holstein Kiel
0 - 2
B. Leverkusen


Knudsen (12'), Zec (24'), Javorcek (75'), Komenda (82')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Schick (9'), Adli (45')
Hincapie (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Holstein Kiel and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Frankfurt 3-1 Holstein Kiel
Sunday, February 16 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 0-0 Bayern
Saturday, February 15 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Holstein Kiel 2-5 Bayer Leverkusen

It would be highly unusual if the champions were held to another goalless draw, especially as they have continued to create chances in the final third. Holstein Kiel have been poor from a defensive perspective, and it would be surprising if they kept Leverkusen at bay. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 64.9%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 15.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.89%) and 0-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Holstein Kiel win it was 2-1 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.

Result
Holstein KielDrawBayer Leverkusen
15.48% (-0.901 -0.9) 19.62% (-0.277 -0.28) 64.9% (1.177 1.18)
Both teams to score 53.96% (-1.16 -1.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.69% (-0.497 -0.5)40.3% (0.495 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.32% (-0.516 -0.52)62.68% (0.513 0.51)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.1% (-1.437 -1.44)38.9% (1.436 1.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.37% (-1.382 -1.38)75.62% (1.381 1.38)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.32% (0.172 0.17)11.68% (-0.173 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.23% (0.369 0.37)36.76% (-0.37 -0.37)
Score Analysis
    Holstein Kiel 15.48%
    Bayer Leverkusen 64.89%
    Draw 19.62%
Holstein KielDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 4.35% (-0.215 -0.22)
1-0 @ 4.29% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 2.03% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-2 @ 1.47% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-1 @ 1.37% (-0.125 -0.13)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 15.48%
1-1 @ 9.21% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.198 -0.2)
0-0 @ 4.54% (0.103 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 19.62%
0-2 @ 10.47% (0.38 0.38)
1-2 @ 9.89% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 9.76% (0.286 0.29)
0-3 @ 7.5% (0.319 0.32)
1-3 @ 7.08% (0.032 0.03)
0-4 @ 4.02% (0.197 0.2)
1-4 @ 3.8% (0.043 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.34% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-4 @ 1.79% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-5 @ 1.73% (0.096 0.1)
1-5 @ 1.63% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 64.89%

How you voted: Holstein Kiel vs B. Leverkusen

Holstein Kiel
15.9%
Draw
7.9%
Bayer Leverkusen
76.2%
63
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
B. Leverkusen
2-2
Holstein Kiel
Boniface (4'), Hofmann (8')
Frimpong (68'), Tah (90+6')
Geschwill (45+5'), Arp (69' pen.)
Knudsen (60'), Weiner (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern25194274235161
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen25158255302553
3Mainz 05Mainz25135742261644
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt25126751391242
5Freiburg2512583436-241
6RB Leipzig2510963933639
7Wolfsburg25108749391038
8Stuttgart2510784439537
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach25114103938137
10Borussia DortmundDortmund25105104539635
11Augsburg259882835-735
12Werder Bremen2596103849-1133
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2576122337-1427
14Hoffenheim2568113247-1526
15St Pauli2564151930-1122
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum2546152550-2518
17Holstein Kiel2545163761-2417
18Heidenheim2544172851-2316


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!