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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 64.9%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 15.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.89%) and 0-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Holstein Kiel win it was 2-1 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.
Result | ||
Holstein Kiel | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
15.48% (![]() | 19.62% (![]() | 64.9% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.96% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.69% (![]() | 40.3% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.32% (![]() | 62.68% (![]() |
Holstein Kiel Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.1% (![]() | 38.9% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.37% (![]() | 75.62% (![]() |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.32% (![]() | 11.68% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.23% (![]() | 36.76% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Holstein Kiel | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
2-1 @ 4.35% (![]() 1-0 @ 4.29% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.03% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.47% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.37% ( ![]() Other @ 1.98% Total : 15.48% | 1-1 @ 9.21% (![]() 2-2 @ 4.67% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.54% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.05% ( ![]() Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.62% | 0-2 @ 10.47% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.89% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 9.76% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 7.5% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 7.08% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 4.02% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.8% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.34% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.79% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.73% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.63% ( ![]() Other @ 3.88% Total : 64.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 25 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 74 | 23 | 51 | 61 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 53 |
3 | Mainz 05Mainz | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 44 |
4 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 42 |
5 | Freiburg | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 41 |
6 | RB Leipzig | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 39 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 38 |
8 | Stuttgart | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 37 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 37 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 35 |
11 | Augsburg | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 35 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 27 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 26 |
15 | St Pauli | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 22 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 18 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 17 |
18 | Heidenheim | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 28 | 51 | -23 | 16 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |