MX23RW : Saturday, November 9 04:51:16| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 6
Oct 5, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Millerntor-Stadion
Mainz logo

St Pauli
0 - 3
Mainz

FT(HT: 0-2)
Burkardt (5', 62'), Sieb (16')
Sieb (20'), Jenz (79'), Kohr (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Freiburg 0-3 St Pauli
Saturday, September 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 0-2 Heidenheim
Saturday, September 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: St Pauli 1-1 Mainz 05

Although the hosts have been in better form of late, they have only scored four goals in the league, and it would be surprising if they scored many on Saturday. Additionally, Mainz have been difficult to beat away from home recently, and they will likely prove stubborn to break down. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 54.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 22.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
St PauliDrawMainz 05
54.91% (-0.175 -0.18) 22.62% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 22.47% (0.159 0.16)
Both teams to score 56.61% (0.168 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.01% (0.121 0.12)42.98% (-0.119 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.61% (0.11799999999999 0.12)65.39% (-0.11699999999999 -0.12)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.44% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)15.56% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.49% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)44.51% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.04% (0.21300000000001 0.21)32.96% (-0.212 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.46% (0.234 0.23)69.54% (-0.232 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    St Pauli 54.91%
    Mainz 05 22.47%
    Draw 22.62%
St PauliDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.54% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
2-0 @ 8.88% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.11% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.5% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.39% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.84% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 2.56% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.58% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 0.95% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 54.91%
1-1 @ 10.59%
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.028 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.13% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.26% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.62%
1-2 @ 5.88% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.16% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.18% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.17% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 22.47%

How you voted: St Pauli vs Mainz

St Pauli
40.4%
Draw
32.7%
Mainz 05
26.9%
52
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern97203272523
2RB Leipzig96211551020
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt95222314917
4Freiburg105231311217
5Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen94412015516
6Borussia DortmundDortmund95131715216
7Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
8Stuttgart93421716113
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach94141514113
10Werder Bremen93331520-512
11Augsburg93241320-711
12Heidenheim93151212010
13Mainz 05Mainz92431213-110
14Wolfsburg92341617-19
15St Pauli9225711-48
16Hoffenheim92251319-68
17Holstein Kiel91261123-125
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum9018929-201


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