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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 54.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 22.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
St Pauli | Draw | Mainz 05 |
54.91% ( -0.18) | 22.62% ( 0.02) | 22.47% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 56.61% ( 0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.01% ( 0.12) | 42.98% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.61% ( 0.12) | 65.39% ( -0.12) |
St Pauli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.44% ( -0.02) | 15.56% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.49% ( -0.03) | 44.51% ( 0.03) |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.04% ( 0.21) | 32.96% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.46% ( 0.23) | 69.54% ( -0.23) |
Score Analysis |
St Pauli | Draw | Mainz 05 |
2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.54% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 8.88% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.84% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 54.91% | 1-1 @ 10.59% 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.62% | 1-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.69% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.38% Total : 22.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 7 | 25 | 23 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 20 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
4 | Freiburg | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 17 |
5 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 16 |
6 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
7 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 16 |
8 | Stuttgart | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
11 | Augsburg | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
12 | Heidenheim | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 10 |
14 | Wolfsburg | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 9 |
15 | St Pauli | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 8 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 29 | -20 | 1 |
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