Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Sep 20, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
WWK Arena
Augsburg2 - 3Mainz
Schlotterbeck (25'), Essende (57')
Onyeka (84'), Gouweleeuw (90+12'), Rexhbecaj (90+11')
Essende (70')
Onyeka (84'), Gouweleeuw (90+12'), Rexhbecaj (90+11')
Essende (70')
FT(HT: 1-2)
We said: Augsburg 1-2 Mainz 05
Although Mainz failed to take advantage of the fact their opponents were reduced to 10 men last time out, they have been difficult to beat for some time. Additionally, Augsburg have lost many of their recent fixtures, and it would not be surprising if they lost once again on Friday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 45.65%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Augsburg | Draw | Mainz 05 |
45.65% ( -0.15) | 25.02% ( 0.08) | 29.33% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 55.2% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
