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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.6%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
Result | ||
Schalke 04 | Draw | Freiburg |
32.25% ( -0.25) | 23.61% ( -0.03) | 44.13% ( 0.28) |
Both teams to score 61.67% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.9% ( 0.05) | 40.1% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.53% ( 0.05) | 62.46% ( -0.05) |
Schalke 04 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.66% ( -0.12) | 24.34% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.26% ( -0.17) | 58.73% ( 0.17) |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.5% ( 0.14) | 18.49% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.29% ( 0.23) | 49.7% ( -0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Schalke 04 | Draw | Freiburg |
2-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 32.25% | 1-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.4% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.7% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.61% | 1-2 @ 9.06% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.6% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 5.1% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.15% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.56% Total : 44.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 7 | 25 | 23 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 20 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 16 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
6 | Freiburg | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 16 |
7 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Stuttgart | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
11 | Augsburg | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
12 | Heidenheim | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 10 |
14 | Wolfsburg | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 9 |
15 | St Pauli | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 8 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 29 | -20 | 1 |
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