Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 4, 2023 at 8pm UK
Celtic Park
Celtic1 - 2Lazio
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Motherwell 1-2 Celtic
Saturday, September 30 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Saturday, September 30 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: AC Milan 2-0 Lazio
Saturday, September 30 at 5pm in Serie A
Saturday, September 30 at 5pm in Serie A
We said: Celtic 1-2 Lazio
Winless in their last 11 meetings with British sides in UEFA competition - a run dating back to March 2000 - Lazio should end that drought with victory in Glasgow this week. Although the Biancocelesti are struggling to replicate last season's form, Celtic have been unconvincing in Europe for some time now and have some key defensive absentees. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 63.84%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 16.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 1-0 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.66%), while for a Lazio win it was 1-2 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lazio in this match.
| Result | ||
| Celtic | Draw | Lazio |
63.84% ( -0.3) | 19.17% ( 0.2) | 16.99% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 59.23% ( -0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
