Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Everton had a probability of 35% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Everton win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Everton | Draw | Newcastle United |
35% ( 0.38) | 26.2% ( 0.35) | 38.79% ( -0.73) |
Both teams to score 53.43% ( -1.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.86% ( -1.45) | 51.14% ( 1.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.01% ( -1.28) | 72.99% ( 1.29) |
Everton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.01% ( -0.47) | 27.99% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.37% ( -0.6) | 63.63% ( 0.61) |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.2% ( -1.05) | 25.8% ( 1.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.24% ( -1.45) | 60.76% ( 1.45) |
Score Analysis |
Everton | Draw | Newcastle United |
1-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 3.37% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.82% Total : 35% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.41) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 8.44% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.41% Total : 38.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 47 |
2 | Arsenal | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 41 | 19 | 22 | 43 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 41 |
4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 22 | 15 | 38 |
5 | Chelsea | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 37 |
6 | Manchester CityMan City | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 35 |
7 | Aston Villa | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 35 |
8 | Bournemouth | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 34 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 31 |
10 | Fulham | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 30 |
11 | Brentford | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 40 | 37 | 3 | 28 |
12 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 26 |
13 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 26 |
14 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 24 |
15 | Crystal Palace | 21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 24 |
16 | Everton | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 17 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 16 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 16 |
19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 14 |
20 | Southampton | 21 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 47 | -34 | 6 |
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