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Champions League header

Champions League
Real Madrid logo
Champions League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Feb 19, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Manchester City logo

Real Madrid
3 - 1
Man City

Mbappe (4', 33', 61')
Bellingham (38')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Gonzalez (90+2')
Gundogan (28'), Gonzalez (47')

The Match

Match Report

Kylian Mbappe scores a hat-trick as Real Madrid beat Manchester City 3-1 in the second leg of their Champions League knockout round playoff to breeze into the next stage of the competition.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Champions League clash between Real Madrid and Manchester City.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Real Madrid and Manchester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Real Madrid could line up for Wednesday's Champions League playoff second leg with Manchester City.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole looks at Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their Champions League clash with Manchester City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Osasuna 1-1 Real Madrid
Saturday, February 15 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Manchester City

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Man City 4-0 Newcastle
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 55.18%. A win for Manchester City had a probability of 24.79% and a draw had a probability of 20%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.76%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Manchester City win was 1-2 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawManchester City
55.18% (-0.51300000000001 -0.51) 20.02% (0.041 0.04) 24.79% (0.475 0.48)
Both teams to score 69.2% (0.42399999999999 0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.16% (0.31399999999999 0.31)27.84% (-0.311 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.45% (0.391 0.39)48.54% (-0.387 -0.39)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.57% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)10.42% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)34% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.26% (0.49799999999999 0.5)22.74% (-0.495 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.58% (0.732 0.73)56.41% (-0.729 -0.73)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 55.18%
    Manchester City 24.79%
    Draw 20.02%
Real MadridDrawManchester City
2-1 @ 8.97% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.76% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.06% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-0 @ 5.36% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-2 @ 5.01% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.57% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-1 @ 3.82% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-2 @ 2.83% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.58% (-0.062 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.73% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-3 @ 1.4% (0.028 0.03)
5-2 @ 1.28% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.17% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 55.18%
1-1 @ 7.94% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.65% (0.054 0.05)
3-3 @ 2.47% (0.053 0.05)
0-0 @ 2.37% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 20.02%
1-2 @ 5.88% (0.055 0.05)
0-1 @ 3.51% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.28% (0.074 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.9% (0.07 0.07)
0-2 @ 2.6% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.28% (0.032 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.22% (0.045 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.08% (0.041 0.04)
3-4 @ 0.92% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 24.79%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Man City

Real Madrid
57.5%
Draw
16.2%
Manchester City
26.3%
463
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2025 8pm
Knockout Round Playoffs 1st Leg
Man City
2-3
Real Madrid
Haaland (19', 80' pen.)
Mbappe (60'), Diaz (86'), Bellingham (90+2')
> Preview
Apr 17, 2024 8pm
Quarter-Finals 2nd Leg
Man City
1-1
Real Madrid
(Aggregate 4-4 | Real Madrid win 4-3 on penalties)
De Bruyne (76')
Grealish (59'), Gvardiol (61'), Rodri (90')
Rodrygo (12')
Carvajal (38'), Mendy (90+4')
> Match Report
Apr 9, 2024 8pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Real Madrid
3-3
Man City
Dias (12' og.), Rodrygo (14'), Valverde (79')
Tchouameni (1'), Carvajal (81')
Silva (2'), Foden (66'), Gvardiol (71')
Akanji (37'), Silva (88')
> Match Report
May 17, 2023 8pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Man City
4-0
Real Madrid
Silva (23', 37'), Akanji (76'), Alvarez (90+1')
Dias (50'), Gundogan (62'), Grealish (90+1')

Carvajal (55'), Camavinga (75')
> Match Report
May 9, 2023 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Real Madrid
1-1
Man City
Junior (36')
De Bruyne (67')
> Match Report
Build-up
Real Madrid's Antonio Rudiger in action on January 19, 2025
Real Madrid injury, suspension news vs. Man City: Los Blancos missing five defenders for Champions League contest
Sports Mole looks at Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their Champions League clash with Manchester City.
Feb 16, 10:09
 Manchester City's Erling Haaland on February 15, 2025
Man City injury, suspension news and return dates for Real Madrid match: Erling Haaland, Jack Grealish, Ruben Dias latest
Sports Mole rounds up all of Manchester City's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their Champions League clash with Real Madrid.
Feb 16, 10:34
 Real Madrid's Antonio Rudiger pictured on January 19, 2025
Real Madrid lineup vs. Man City: Predicted XI for Champions League clash as Carlo Ancelotti receives triple boost
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Real Madrid could line up for Wednesday's Champions League playoff second leg with Manchester City.
Feb 17, 14:06
 Manchester City striker Erling Haaland celebrates scoring on February 11, 2025
Man City lineup vs. Real Madrid: Predicted XI for Champions League clash as Erling Haaland chases record
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester City could line up for Wednesday's Champions League playoff second leg with Real Madrid.
Feb 17, 14:15
 Manchester City's Erling Haaland and Real Madrid's Aurelien Tchouameni pictured on April 9, 2024
Real Madrid vs. Man City: Erling Haaland's record against Los Blancos before Champions League clash
Ahead of Wednesday's Champions League clash between Real Madrid and Manchester City, Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at Erling Haaland's record against Los Blancos.
Feb 17, 17:05
 SM-EK PG composite
Real Madrid vs. Man City: Pep Guardiola must "live and die by the youthful sword" as two stars "cannot be dropped" for Champions League tie
Pep Guardiola 'cannot drop' two key Man City players and should name the same team that thrashed Newcastle 4-0 last weekend in Wednesday's crucial Champions League tie against Real Madrid, Citizens expert Steven McInerney tells Sports Mole.
Feb 18, 10:20
 Real Madrid manager Carlo Ancelotti on February 8, 2025
Real Madrid name official squad for Man City clash as key centre-back returns for crucial Champions League fixture
Real Madrid name their official 22-man squad for Wednesday's Champions League knockout round playoff second leg against Manchester City at the Santiago Bernabeu.
Feb 18, 16:53
 Manchester City's Erling Haaland celebrates on February 11, 2025
Real Madrid vs. Man City: Erling Haaland out to make Champions League history, break Lionel Messi record in playoff second leg
Erling Haaland will be aiming to earn a slice of Champions League history when Man City lock horns with Real Madrid at the Santiago Bernabeu for the second leg of their playoff tie on Wednesday.
Feb 18, 18:24
 Manchester City's Erling Haaland and Ruben Dias on February 11, 2025
Man City injury news: Pep Guardiola issues Erling Haaland, Ruben Dias, Nathan Ake, Jack Grealish update before Real Madrid clash
Man City manager Pep Guardiola issues an injury update on Erling Haaland, Ruben Dias, Nathan Ake and Jack Grealish ahead of Wednesday's Champions League playoff second-leg clash with Real Madrid.
Feb 18, 19:11
 Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola on November 2, 2024
Real Madrid vs. Manchester City: Pep Guardiola at risk of setting new unwanted Champions League record
Manchester City are set to play Real Madrid in the Champions League on Wednesday and could set an unwanted record in the competition.
Feb 19, 01:04
 Manchester City's Erling Haaland pictured on September 22, 2024
Real Madrid vs. Man City confirmed lineups: Rudiger, Haaland, Dias decisions made for Champions League tie
Real Madrid and Manchester City confirm their starting lineups for tonight's Champions League playoff second leg at the Santiago Bernabeu.
Feb 19, 18:47
rhs 2.0
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