Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 47.64%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 22.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.17%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Leganes | Draw | Valencia |
47.64% ( 1.33) | 29.4% ( -0.75) | 22.96% ( -0.59) |
Both teams to score 38.48% ( 1.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
33.05% ( 1.67) | 66.95% ( -1.67) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
14.77% ( 1.11) | 85.23% ( -1.11) |
Leganes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.43% ( 1.54) | 28.57% ( -1.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.64% ( 1.89) | 64.36% ( -1.89) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.87% ( 0.41) | 46.13% ( -0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.18% ( 0.32) | 81.82% ( -0.32) |
Score Analysis |
Leganes | Draw | Valencia |
1-0 @ 16.5% ( -0.32) 2-0 @ 10.34% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 8% ( 0.28) 3-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.25) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.12) Other @ 1.43% Total : 47.63% | 0-0 @ 13.17% ( -0.84) 1-1 @ 12.77% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.36% Total : 29.39% | 0-1 @ 10.19% ( -0.52) 1-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.58% Total : 22.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 38 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 31 | 11 | 20 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 33 |
5 | Villarreal | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Mallorca | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 27 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 25 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 21 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Getafe | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 16 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 15 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 11 |
> La Liga Full Table |