Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 5, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Medellin1 - 1Internacional
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Independiente Medellin and Internacional.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Medellin 2-0 Magallanes
Thursday, March 16 at 12am in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, March 16 at 12am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Internacional 3-0 Palmeiras
Sunday, November 13 at 7pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, November 13 at 7pm in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 35.74%. A win for Internacional had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.39%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Internacional win was 0-1 (12.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Independiente Medellin | Draw | Internacional |
35.74% ( 0.4) | 29.23% ( 0.23) | 35.03% ( -0.63) |
Both teams to score 44.22% ( -0.65) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.39% ( -0.78) | 62.61% ( 0.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.82% ( -0.57) | 82.18% ( 0.57) |
Independiente Medellin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.74% ( -0.14) | 33.26% ( 0.14) |