Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Oct 20, 2020 at 11.15pm UK
Vila Belmiro, Santos
Santos2 - 1Defensa
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Santos and Defensa y Justicia.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 45.15%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 29.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Santos | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 45.15% | 25.74% | 29.11% |
| Both teams to score 52.74% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
