Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 4, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Polideportivo Misael Delgado
Puerto Cabello0 - 3Tigre
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Academia Puerto Cabello and Tigre.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-0 Puerto Cabello
Wednesday, April 19 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, April 19 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Gimnasia 1-1 Tigre
Saturday, April 29 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, April 29 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 48.72%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Academia Puerto Cabello had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.59%) and 1-2 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for an Academia Puerto Cabello win it was 1-0 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigre would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Academia Puerto Cabello | Draw | Tigre |
24.6% ( -0.03) | 26.67% ( -0.01) | 48.72% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 46.62% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.66% ( 0.02) | 57.33% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.84% ( 0.02) | 78.16% ( -0.01) |
| Academia Puerto Cabello Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.02% ( -0.02) | 38.97% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.3% ( -0.02) | 75.7% ( 0.02) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.4% ( 0.03) | 23.6% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.32% ( 0.04) | 57.68% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
Academia Puerto Cabello 24.6%
Tigre 48.72%
Draw 26.67%
| Academia Puerto Cabello | Draw | Tigre |
| 1-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.9% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.85% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.34% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.28% ( -0)Other @ 1.48% Total : 24.6% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.26% Other @ 0.7% Total : 26.67% | 0-1 @ 13.28% 0-2 @ 9.59% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 9.04% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.61% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.35% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.67% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.57% ( 0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 48.72% |
