Coppa Italia | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 5, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Giovanni Zini
Cremonese0 - 2Fiorentina
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cremonese 1-3 Atalanta
Saturday, April 1 at 2pm in Serie A
Saturday, April 1 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 0-1 Fiorentina
Saturday, April 1 at 5pm in Serie A
Saturday, April 1 at 5pm in Serie A
We said: Cremonese 1-2 Fiorentina
With their confidence sapped still further by a 17th Serie A defeat of the season, Cremonese may find it hard to resist Italy's most in-form side on Wednesday. Fiorentina's surge since losing back-to-back league games in February has been nothing short of spectacular, and they can set themselves up with a first-leg lead ahead of the return in Florence later this month. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 55.64%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.79%) and 0-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Cremonese win it was 2-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cremonese | Draw | Fiorentina |
21.8% ( -0.51) | 22.56% ( -0.21) | 55.64% ( 0.72) |
| Both teams to score 55.87% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
