MX23RW : Saturday, November 2 16:29:18| >> :600:711162:711162:
Fiorentina logo
Conference League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 9, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
1 - 0
Sivasspor

Barak (69')
Amrabat (58'), Jovic (62'), Cabral (83'), Biraghi (90+1'), Dodo (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Saiz (42'), Cofie (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Fiorentina and Sivasspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Fiorentina 3-0 Sivasspor

Fiorentina are one of the favourites to win the entire tournament let alone a home tie against a struggling Turkish team still piecing itself back together after the natural disasters in the area. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 68.16%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Sivasspor had a probability of 13.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 1-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Sivasspor win it was 1-2 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawSivasspor
68.16% (0.007000000000005 0.01) 18.22% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 13.62% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Both teams to score 54.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.2% (0.015000000000001 0.02)37.8% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.95% (0.016000000000005 0.02)60.05% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)10.13% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.67% (0.013000000000005 0.01)33.33% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Sivasspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.13% (0.0020000000000024 0)39.87% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.47% (0.0020000000000024 0)76.53% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 68.16%
    Sivasspor 13.62%
    Draw 18.22%
FiorentinaDrawSivasspor
2-0 @ 10.58%
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 9.25% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.08%
3-1 @ 7.43% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 4.63% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 4.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 2.12% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 1.96% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.95% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 4.77%
Total : 68.16%
1-1 @ 8.5% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.48%
0-0 @ 4.04% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 18.22%
1-2 @ 3.91% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-1 @ 3.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 1.71% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.37%
1-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 13.62%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Sivasspor

Fiorentina
86.6%
Draw
9.8%
Sivasspor
3.7%
82
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City97202091123
2Liverpool97111751222
3Arsenal105321711618
4Aston Villa95311611518
5Chelsea95221911817
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton94411612416
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest9441117416
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
9Tottenham HotspurSpurs94141810813
10Brentford94141818013
11Fulham93331212012
12Bournemouth93331111012
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham93241316-311
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd9324811-311
15Leicester CityLeicester92341317-49
16Everton92341016-69
17Crystal Palace9135611-56
18Ipswich TownIpswich9045920-114
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves90271225-132
20Southampton9018619-131


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