Coppa Italia | First Round
Aug 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Arechi
Salernitana3 - 3Spezia
Coverage of the Coppa Italia First Round clash between Salernitana and Spezia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bari 1-1 Salernitana
Wednesday, July 31 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Wednesday, July 31 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Spezia 5-2 Fezzanese
Thursday, August 8 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Thursday, August 8 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Salernitana | Draw | Spezia |
28.2% ( -1.27) | 25.81% ( -0.34) | 45.99% ( 1.6) |
| Both teams to score 51.96% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
