MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 20:15:33| >> :600:373181:373181:
[monks data]
Derby logo
League One | Gameweek 46
Apr 27, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Carlisle United

Derby
2 - 0
Carlisle

Bird (5'), Collins (59')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Neal (41')

Preview: Derby County vs. Carlisle United - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Derby County and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Needing a point to guarantee their promotion from League One, Derby County will welcome already-relegated Carlisle United to Pride Park for the final game of the season on Saturday.

Back-to-back victories have seen the hosts build up a three-point lead over Bolton Wanderers in the top-two race, while their visitors are confined to a 24th-placed finish and a return to England's fourth tier next season.


Match preview

Derby County manager Paul Warne reacts on January 23, 2024© Reuters

Derby County return to Pride Park on Saturday with the aim of sealing their promotion back to the Championship at the second time of asking, having built up a healthy lead in the fight for top-two spots.

After narrowly missing out on the playoffs last time around, the Rams have enjoyed a fine season under the tutelage of Paul Warne this term, accumulating 89 points from their 45 games thus far, winning 27 of those while suffering 10 defeats.

The most recent of those losses came away at Northampton Town in late March, but that has been their only true setback in an impressive run-in, having still moved into pole position in the automatic promotion race with 23 points from the last 10 games, including a five-game unbeaten streak heading into the weekend following the defeat at Sixfields.

Following a hard-fought home win over Blackpool and consecutive draws away at Portsmouth and Wycombe Wanderers, the Rams returned to winning ways at home to Leyton Orient in mid-April, dishing out a 3-0 beating thanks to Kane Wilson's opener and a Sonny Bradley brace, before most recently travelling to take on Cambridge United at the weekend and taking another major step towards sealing a top-two finish with a 1-0 victory thanks to Nathaniel Mendez-Laing's goal late in the first half.

Now sitting three points clear of third place heading into the final day, Derby County will go in search of a 28th league victory of the season on Saturday to wrap up their automatic promotion in style and end a two-year stay in England's third tier.

Their visitors, meanwhile, travel to Pride Park aiming to bow out of League One on a high, having already been condemned to relegation after winning promotion from the fourth tier last time around.

Paul Simpson's side have struggled throughout a tough campaign, sitting in the drop zone for the majority having managed just 30 points from their 45 outings so far, suffering 29 losses across those games including a 2-0 home defeat in the reverse fixture at home to Derby County in September in which James Collins hit a brace.

The Cumbrians' drop was confirmed in a 2-0 defeat away at Northampton Town in early April, and after regaining some credit with a 1-0 triumph over fellow strugglers Cheltenham Town in the following encounter, they now again find themselves on the back of consecutive defeats in the third tier, firstly falling short at home to Blackpool with Karamoko Dembele hitting the only goal inside the opening minute.

Simpson's men then welcomed Wycombe Wanderers to Brunton Park on Saturday, and after falling behind and drawing level through Alfie McCalmont, they would eventually be condemned to a 3-1 defeat by second-half goals from Richard Kone and Garath McCleary.

Now condemned to a 24th-placed finish having fallen 10 points behind Port Vale and Fleetwood Town, Carlisle United will bid to end their stay in League One on a high before returning to England's fourth tier next season with a memorable result in Derbyshire.

Derby County League One form:

Carlisle United League One form:


Team News

Derby County manager Paul Warne reacts on July 29, 2023© Reuters

Derby County should be unchanged for Saturday's crucial contest after their 1-0 win away at Cambridge United last time out, with Joe Ward, Craig Forsyth, Jake Rooney, Ryan Nyambe, Tyreece John-Jules and Dwight Gayle all set to remain sidelined by injuries.

In their 3-4-1-2 shape, Curtis Nelson, Sonny Bradley are bound to line up in a back three, while Ebou Adams and Korey Smith should fight off competition from Max Bird and Conor Hourihane to continue their midfield partnership.

At the top end of the pitch, in Gayle's absence, their line should again be led by James Collins and Nathaniel Mendez-Laing, who has contributed nine goals and 15 assists in 45 league appearances this term.

Carlisle are not expected to be dealing with many injury issues at the weekend, aside from key midfielder and captain Callum Guy, who has been out of action since October.

Harrison Neal should again anchor the midfield, having been an important figure since his January arrival, with Jon Mellish having also stepped forward from the defence to join him in the centre last time out.

That leaves Ben Barclay to partner mainstay Sam Lavelle at the back, while Luke Armstrong and Georgie Kelly will both hope to keep their places at the top end of the pitch while top scorer Jordan Gibson will fight to return from the outset.


Derby County possible starting lineup:
Wildsmith; Nelson, Bradley, Cashin; Wilson, Smith, Adams, Sibley; Thompson; Collins, Mendez-Laing

Carlisle United possible starting lineup:
Lewis; Beck, Lavelle, Barclay, Armer; McCalmont, Neal, Mellish, Gibson; Kelly, Armstrong


SM words green background

We say: Derby County 2-0 Carlisle United

Heading into the game with home advantage and the desperation to get over the line with a victory, while boasting far more quality and momentum, we expect Derby County to make no mistake at Pride Park and come out on top to seal second spot and a return to the Championship.


For data analysis of the most likely results, scorelines and more for this match please click here.


ID:542099:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect12703:
Written by
Sam Varley

Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Game History

How you voted: Derby vs Carlisle

Derby County
72.7%
Draw
18.2%
Carlisle United
9.1%
22
Collect / Create New Data
Share this article now:
General view of Portsmouth's Fratton Park from March 2017
Read Next:
Saturday's League One predictions including Bolton Wanderers vs. Portsmouth
>
Sports Mole Logo
Enter your email address to subscribe to Sports Mole's free match previews newsletter! Updates are sent twice a week.
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Lions
@
Bears
6pm
Browns
@
Bengals
6pm
Patriots
@
Bills
6pm
Titans
@
Colts
6pm
Giants
@
Falcons
6pm
Rams
@
Jets
6pm
Cardinals
@
Panthers
6pm
Eagles
@
Washington
9.05pm
Vikings
@
Seahawks
9.25pm
49ers
@
Dolphins
9.25pm
Jags
@
Raiders
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!