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Championship header 2

League One
Northampton Town
League One | Gameweek 40
Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Derby logo

Northampton
1 - 0
Derby

Hoskins (23')
Pinnock (14'), Brady (15'), Leonard (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sibley (45'), Cashin (50')
Bradley (90+10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Wycombe 2-0 Northampton
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One

Derby County

All competitions
Last Game: Derby 1-0 Bolton
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One

We said: Northampton Town 1-3 Derby County

 Derby travel to Sixfields off the back of a fine run of form, and we think that the promotion-chasing side will prove too strong for a Northampton team that will be low on confidence following a poor spell of results. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 60.03%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 16.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.92%) and 1-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-0 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Northampton TownDrawDerby County
16.81% (0.045000000000002 0.05) 23.16%60.03% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 45.68% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.13% (0.071000000000005 0.07)52.86% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.52% (0.061 0.06)74.48% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.22% (0.098999999999997 0.1)44.77% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.25% (0.079999999999998 0.08)80.75% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.72% (0.013000000000005 0.01)17.27% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.39% (0.018000000000001 0.02)47.61% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 16.81%
    Derby County 60.03%
    Draw 23.15%
Northampton TownDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 6.22%
2-1 @ 4.39% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.5% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.18% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.03% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 16.81%
1-1 @ 10.91%
0-0 @ 7.73% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.85% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 23.15%
0-1 @ 13.58% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 11.92% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.58% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 6.98% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.61% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 3.06% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 2.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.008 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 60.03%

How you voted: Northampton vs Derby

Northampton Town
7.0%
Draw
5.3%
Derby County
87.7%
57
Head to Head
Oct 31, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Derby
4-0
Northampton
Bird (14', 32'), Washington (22'), Mendez-Laing (49')
Washington (57')

Brough (2'), Odimayo (71')
> Preview
Feb 4, 2020 7.45pm
Fourth Round
Derby
4-2
Northampton
Wisdom (28'), Holmes (35'), Marriott (51'), Rooney (77' pen.)
Adams (47'), Hoskins (84' pen.)
Watson (55')
> Match Report
Jan 24, 2020 8pm
Fourth Round
Northampton
0-0
Derby
Watson (93')
Bogle (81')
> Match Report
Jul 25, 2017 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Northampton
1-0
Derby
Richards (18')
Jul 18, 2015 2pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Northampton
0-1
Derby
Russell (32')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012
> League One Full Table


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