Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for TOP Oss had a probability of 35.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.73%) and 0-2 (5.67%). The likeliest TOP Oss win was 2-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
