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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
PSV
Eredivisie | Gameweek 17
Jan 21, 2023 at 7pm UK
Philips Stadium
Vitesse

PSV
1 - 0
Vitesse

Til (48')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Dijks (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and Vitesse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sittard 2-2 PSV
Sunday, January 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Vitesse 0-0 Nijmegen
Sunday, January 15 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: PSV Eindhoven 2-0 Vitesse

PSV need to string together an extensive run of victories in order to keep their title dreams alive, and given their home record this season, it is difficult to see them not claiming all three points this weekend. Vitesse have shared the spoils in their last three, proving that they can compete with the better sides in the league, but PSV should have too much firepower here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 75.43%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 10.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 3-0 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.45%), while for a Vitesse win it was 1-2 (3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawVitesse
75.43% (-0.91800000000001 -0.92) 14.48% (0.503 0.5) 10.09% (0.412 0.41)
Both teams to score 56.72% (-0.497 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.15% (-1.326 -1.33)28.85% (1.323 1.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.21% (-1.645 -1.65)49.79% (1.642 1.64)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.61% (-0.453 -0.45)6.39% (0.45 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.04% (-1.256 -1.26)23.96% (1.254 1.25)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.59% (-0.238 -0.24)39.41% (0.235 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.89% (-0.223 -0.22)76.1% (0.22 0.22)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 75.43%
    Vitesse 10.09%
    Draw 14.48%
PSV EindhovenDrawVitesse
2-0 @ 9.52% (0.25 0.25)
2-1 @ 8.87% (0.177 0.18)
3-0 @ 8.73% (0.0040000000000013 0)
3-1 @ 8.13% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
1-0 @ 6.92% (0.356 0.36)
4-0 @ 6.01% (-0.157 -0.16)
4-1 @ 5.59% (-0.183 -0.18)
3-2 @ 3.79% (-0.047 -0.05)
5-0 @ 3.3% (-0.177 -0.18)
5-1 @ 3.08% (-0.185 -0.19)
4-2 @ 2.6% (-0.103 -0.1)
6-0 @ 1.52% (-0.123 -0.12)
5-2 @ 1.43% (-0.096 -0.1)
6-1 @ 1.41% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 4.52%
Total : 75.43%
1-1 @ 6.45% (0.292 0.29)
2-2 @ 4.13% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 2.52% (0.191 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 14.48%
1-2 @ 3% (0.118 0.12)
0-1 @ 2.34% (0.164 0.16)
2-3 @ 1.28% (0.01 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.09% (0.07 0.07)
1-3 @ 0.93% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 10.09%

How you voted: PSV vs Vitesse

PSV Eindhoven
83.9%
Draw
6.5%
Vitesse
9.7%
31
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2022 7pm
Vitesse
0-5
PSV

Bazoer (38'), Oroz (67')
Zahavi (4'), Junior (24'), Gakpo (28'), Vinicius (62'), Doan (88')
Nov 20, 2021 3.30pm
PSV
2-0
Vitesse
Sangare (19'), Bruma (30')

Openda (25'), Wittek (45')
Feb 21, 2021 3.45pm
PSV
3-1
Vitesse
Malen (66'), Gotze (86', 88')
Gutierrez (38'), Sangare (75')
Broja (4')
Oct 25, 2020 1.30pm
Vitesse
2-1
PSV
Rasmussen (9'), Openda (54')
Tronstad (64'), Buitink (80'), Dasa (84')
Boscagli (50')
Feb 23, 2020 1.30pm
Vitesse
1-2
PSV
Matavz (50')
Obispo (36')
Lammers (59' pen.), Gakpo (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax25203253183563
2PSV EindhovenPSV25174475304555
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2514744638849
4FC Twente25137550311946
5Feyenoord24128448272144
6AZ AlkmaarAZ24134740241643
7Go Ahead Eagles2512584640641
8Fortuna SittardSittard2595113242-1032
9Heerenveen2586113145-1430
10Groningen2477102333-1028
11NAC BredaNAC Breda2584132743-1628
12Heracles2569103246-1427
13NECNijmegen2575133637-126
14PEC Zwolle2567122940-1125
15Sparta RotterdamSparta2559112434-1024
16Willem II2566132841-1324
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2445153249-1717
18Almere CityAlmere City2535171549-3414


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