Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 81.12%. A draw had a probability of 11.8% and a win for Crystal Palace Women had a probability of 7.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 3-1 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.33%), while for a Crystal Palace Women win it was 1-2 (2.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.