Friendlies 1
Mar 26, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Olimpico de Sevilla
Spain3 - 3Brazil
The Match
Match Report
Lucas Paqueta scores a 96th-minute penalty as Brazil rescue a thrilling 3-3 friendly draw with Spain at the Santiago Bernabeu.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Spain and Brazil, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Brazil could line up in Tuesday's international friendly with Spain.
Form, Standings, Stats
International Friendlies
Last Game: Spain 0-1 Colombia
Friday, March 22 at 8.30pm in International Friendlies
Friday, March 22 at 8.30pm in International Friendlies
International Friendlies
Last Game: England 0-1 Brazil
Saturday, March 23 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Saturday, March 23 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 56.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Brazil had a probability of 20.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Brazil win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Spain | Draw | Brazil |
56.42% ( 0.03) | 23.14% ( -0.03) | 20.43% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 51.94% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.23% ( 0.13) | 47.77% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.04% ( 0.12) | 69.96% ( -0.12) |
| Spain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.27% ( 0.06) | 16.73% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.36% ( 0.1) | 46.64% ( -0.1) |
| Brazil Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.37% ( 0.07) | 37.63% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.59% ( 0.08) | 74.4% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
Spain 56.42%
Brazil 20.43%
Draw 23.14%
| Spain | Draw | Brazil |
| 1-0 @ 11.25% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 10.06% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0)3-0 @ 6% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.07% Total : 56.42% | 1-1 @ 11% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.14% | 0-1 @ 6.15% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.38% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.01% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.75% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 1.6% Total : 20.43% |
How you voted: Spain vs Brazil
Spain
34.5%Draw
25.3%Brazil
40.2%87
Form Guide
