World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Nov 17, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez
Colombia2 - 1Brazil
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Colombia and Brazil, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Brazil could line up for Thursday's CONMEBOL World Cup qualifier against Colombia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ecuador 0-0 Colombia
Wednesday, October 18 at 12.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Wednesday, October 18 at 12.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Uruguay 2-0 Brazil
Wednesday, October 18 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Wednesday, October 18 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
We said: Colombia 0-1 Brazil
Colombia have frustrated Brazil on numerous occasions and there has been little to separate these two nations in recent years, so another closely-fought contest could be on the cards. Although Brazil are missing a few key players and may rely on a couple of debutants on Friday, Diniz should have enough quality at his disposal to steer the Selecao to victory in Barranquilla. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 38.48%. A win for Brazil had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.69%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Brazil win was 0-1 (11.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colombia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Colombia | Draw | Brazil |
38.48% ( -2.51) | 29.26% ( -0.49) | 32.26% ( 3) |
| Both teams to score 43.81% ( 2.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.04% ( 2.21) | 62.96% ( -2.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.56% ( 1.57) | 82.44% ( -1.57) |
| Colombia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.3% ( -0.37) | 31.7% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.88% ( -0.43) | 68.12% ( 0.43) |
| Brazil Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.15% ( 3.53) | 35.85% ( -3.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.37% ( 3.45) | 72.63% ( -3.45) |
| Score Analysis |
Colombia 38.47%
Brazil 32.25%
Draw 29.25%
| Colombia | Draw | Brazil |
| 1-0 @ 13.05% ( -1.26) 2-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.81)3-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.34)3-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.9% Total : 38.47% | 1-1 @ 13.39% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 11.36% ( -0.97)2-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.34)Other @ 0.56% Total : 29.25% | 0-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 6.87% ( 0.65)0-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.62)1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.42)0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.38)2-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.23)Other @ 2.01% Total : 32.25% |
How you voted: Colombia vs Brazil
Colombia
24.2%Draw
19.7%Brazil
56.1%66
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2021 12.30am
Group Stage
Brazil
1-0
Colombia
Oct 10, 2021 10pm
Jun 24, 2021 1am
Group Stage
Brazil
2-1
Colombia
Sep 7, 2019 1.30am
International Friendlies
Brazil
2-2
Colombia
Sep 5, 2017 9.30pm
Form Guide
Build-up
How Brazil could line up against Colombia
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Brazil could line up for Thursday's CONMEBOL World Cup qualifier against Colombia.
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