J1 League | Gameweek 4
Mar 16, 2024 at 6am UK
Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)
Sagan Tosu0 - 2Cerezo
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Cerezo Osaka.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hiroshima 4-0 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, March 9 at 6am in J1 League
Saturday, March 9 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 2-1 Tokyo Verdy
Saturday, March 9 at 7am in J1 League
Saturday, March 9 at 7am in J1 League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 39.86%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.
Result | ||
Sagan Tosu | Draw | Cerezo Osaka |
34.6% | 25.54% ( -0.01) | 39.86% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 55.58% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.65% ( 0.04) | 48.34% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.51% ( 0.03) | 70.49% ( -0.03) |
Sagan Tosu Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.1% ( 0.02) | 26.89% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.79% ( 0.02) | 62.21% ( -0.02) |
Cerezo Osaka Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.03% ( 0.02) | 23.97% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.79% ( 0.03) | 58.21% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Sagan Tosu 34.6%
Cerezo Osaka 39.86%
Draw 25.54%
Sagan Tosu | Draw | Cerezo Osaka |
1-0 @ 8.47% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.94% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.56% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.48% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.43% 4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 3.1% Total : 34.6% | 1-1 @ 12.09% 0-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.54% | 0-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.64% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.58% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.11% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.13% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.47% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.12% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 1.95% Total : 39.86% |
Head to Head
Jul 8, 2023 11.30am
Mar 12, 2023 5am
Gameweek 4
Cerezo
2-1
Sagan Tosu
Sep 10, 2022 11am
May 3, 2022 7am
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Vissel KobeVissel Kobe | 38 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 61 | 36 | 25 | 72 |
2 | Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 68 |
3 | Machida Zelvia | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 54 | 34 | 20 | 66 |
4 | Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka | 38 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 49 | 35 | 14 | 66 |
5 | Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 60 | 41 | 19 | 65 |
6 | Tokyo Verdy | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 51 | 51 | 0 | 56 |
7 | FC Tokyo | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 54 |
8 | Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 66 | 57 | 9 | 52 |
9 | Yokohama F MarinosYokohama | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 61 | 62 | -1 | 52 |
10 | Cerezo OsakaCerezo | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 52 |
11 | Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 44 | 47 | -3 | 50 |
12 | Avispa Fukuoka | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 50 |
13 | Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 48 |
14 | Kyoto Sanga | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 47 |
15 | Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 53 | 58 | -5 | 45 |
16 | Albirex Niigata | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 44 | 59 | -15 | 42 |
17 | Kashiwa ReysolReysol | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 41 |
18 | Jubilo Iwata | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 47 | 68 | -21 | 38 |
19 | Consadole SapporoConsadole | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 37 |
20 | Sagan Tosu | 38 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 48 | 68 | -20 | 35 |
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