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J1 League | Gameweek 33
Nov 25, 2023 at 5am UK
EDION Stadium
Gamba Osaka

Hiroshima
3 - 0
Gamba Osaka

Mitsuta (9'), Nakano (11'), Kato (53')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Kyung-won (22'), Kurokawa (38')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Gamba Osaka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Consadole 0-0 Hiroshima
Saturday, November 11 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 1-2 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, November 11 at 6am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 68.41%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 13.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 0-1 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawGamba Osaka
68.41% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04) 18.57% (0.041 0.04) 13.01% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Both teams to score 50.94% (-0.154 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.04% (-0.201 -0.2)40.96% (0.201 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.65% (-0.205 -0.2)63.35% (0.20399999999999 0.2)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.06% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)10.94% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.85% (-0.146 -0.15)35.15% (0.145 0.14)
Gamba Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.19% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)42.8% (0.13 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.87% (-0.112 -0.11)79.13% (0.111 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 68.41%
    Gamba Osaka 13.01%
    Draw 18.57%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawGamba Osaka
2-0 @ 11.46% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-0 @ 10.36% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.73% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 8.46% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.18% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 4.68% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.97% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-0 @ 2.07% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.76% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.68% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 68.41%
1-1 @ 8.79% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.68% (0.043 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.13% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 18.57%
0-1 @ 3.97% (0.022 0.02)
1-2 @ 3.73% (-0.004 -0)
0-2 @ 1.69% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.17% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.06% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 13.01%

Head to Head
Mar 12, 2023 7am
Gameweek 4
Gamba Osaka
1-2
Hiroshima
Usami (70')
Ben Khalifa (2'), Mitsuta (90+4' pen.)
Aug 20, 2022 11am
Gameweek 26
Hiroshima
5-2
Gamba Osaka
Ben Khalifa (11', 72', 76'), Mitsuta (82'), Matsumoto (88')
Pereira (2'), Saito (36')
Higashiguchi (48')
Jun 29, 2022 11am
Gameweek 15
Gamba Osaka
2-0
Hiroshima
Kurokawa (36'), Sakamoto (39')
Onose (78'), Kurata (90+3')
May 12, 2021 10am
Gameweek 20
Gamba Osaka
1-2
Hiroshima
Ichimi (44')
Sasaki (36'), Kawabe (65')
Apr 3, 2021 6am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Machida Zelvia15102325111432
2Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers16102427171032
3Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1692524121229
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka168441511428
5Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus168261917226
6Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa157352520524
7Cerezo OsakaCerezo166642218424
8Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima1558226151123
9FC Tokyo166552625123
10Kashiwa ReysolReysol155731717022
11Avispa Fukuoka165741517-222
12Tokyo Verdy164932123-221
13Jubilo Iwata165382224-218
14Yokohama F MarinosYokohama134541818017
15Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki164572324-117
16Albirex Niigata164481925-616
17Sagan Tosu154292127-614
18Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare163582230-814
19Consadole SapporoConsadole162591331-1811
20Kyoto Sanga1624101230-1810


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