Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima had a probability of 30.31% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 (10.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Urawa Red Diamonds in this match.