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Las Palmas
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La Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 15, 2024 at 1pm UK
Estadio de Balaidos
Real Valladolid logo

Celta Vigo
3 - 1
Valladolid

Alvarez (22'), Iglesias (35'), Douvikas (90+1')
Alvarez (41'), Sotelo (61'), Rodriguez Galiano (68')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Moro (50')
Rosa (40'), San Jose Cantalejo (45+2'), Amallah (55'), Juric (84'), Latasa (87')
Martin Rielves (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Real Valladolid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Celta Vigo 2-0 Real Valladolid

Celta may have lost their last two away matches, but they have taken maximum points from both of their home games, and we think that they will make full use of home advantage again to condemn Valladolid to their third defeat of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 55.33%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 20.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.

Result
Celta VigoDrawReal Valladolid
55.33% (0.067999999999998 0.07) 24.29%20.38% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Both teams to score 48.41% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.57% (-0.07 -0.07)52.43% (0.073 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.89% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)74.1% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.16% (0.0010000000000048 0)18.84% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.71% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)50.29% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.65% (-0.109 -0.11)40.35% (0.112 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.03% (-0.101 -0.1)76.97% (0.104 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 55.32%
    Real Valladolid 20.38%
    Draw 24.28%
Celta VigoDrawReal Valladolid
1-0 @ 12.68% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 10.59% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 5.89% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.35% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 2.46% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.23%
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 55.32%
1-1 @ 11.51%
0-0 @ 7.6% (0.022 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.36% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 24.28%
0-1 @ 6.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 5.23% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.13% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.58% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.95% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 20.38%

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Valladolid

Celta Vigo
85.5%
Draw
11.6%
Real Valladolid
2.9%
69
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 23
Celta Vigo
3-0
Valladolid
Seferovic (17'), Veiga (32', 64')
Oct 19, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 10
Valladolid
4-1
Celta Vigo
Mesa (32'), Fernandez (62'), Leon (74', 79')
Oscar (43')
Feb 28, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 25
Celta Vigo
1-1
Valladolid
Murillo (90+4')
Tapia (34'), Aidoo (90+3'), Ferreyra (90+5')
Orellana (70')
Weissman (4'), Guardiola (40'), Olaza (58'), Fernandez (90'), El Yamiq (90+1')
Sep 27, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 3
Valladolid
1-1
Celta Vigo
Guardiola (66' pen.)
Guardiola (61'), Bruno (80'), Sanchez (86')
Aspas (44')
Mor (25'), Beltran (41'), Mallo (65'), Aspas (90+2')
Jun 17, 2020 6.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona87012591621
2Real Madrid85301761118
3Villarreal85211715217
4Atletico MadridAtletico8440124816
5Athletic Bilbao8422128414
6Mallorca842286214
7Osasuna84221213-114
8Real BetisBetis833287112
9Rayo Vallecano824298110
10Celta Vigo83141515010
11AlavesAlaves83141112-110
12GironaGirona8233911-29
13Sevilla8233810-29
14Real Sociedad822467-18
15Leganes915359-48
16Getafe814356-17
17Espanyol8215712-57
18Valencia9135513-86
19Real ValladolidValladolid8125417-135
20Las PalmasLas Palmas8035916-73


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