Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 55.33%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 20.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.
Result | ||
Celta Vigo | Draw | Real Valladolid |
55.33% ( 0.07) | 24.29% | 20.38% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 48.41% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.57% ( -0.07) | 52.43% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.89% ( -0.06) | 74.1% ( 0.06) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.16% ( 0) | 18.84% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.71% ( -0) | 50.29% ( 0) |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.65% ( -0.11) | 40.35% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.03% ( -0.1) | 76.97% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo | Draw | Real Valladolid |
1-0 @ 12.68% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.59% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.35% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.23% 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 3.07% Total : 55.32% | 1-1 @ 11.51% 0-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.81% Total : 24.28% | 0-1 @ 6.9% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.28% Total : 20.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 9 | 16 | 21 |
2 | Real Madrid | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 18 |
3 | Villarreal | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 17 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 16 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 14 |
6 | Mallorca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Osasuna | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
8 | Real BetisBetis | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 12 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 10 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 10 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 10 |
12 | GironaGirona | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 |
13 | Sevilla | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 |
14 | Real Sociedad | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 |
15 | Leganes | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 8 |
16 | Getafe | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
17 | Espanyol | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
18 | Valencia | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 6 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 5 |
20 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 3 |
> La Liga Full Table |