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AFC Wimbledon
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Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
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Morecambe
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Walsall
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 38
Mar 22, 2025 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Bromley

Carlisle
2 - 1
Bromley

Wearne (13'), Whelan (54')
Davies (56'), Harper (62'), Vela (69'), Bevan (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
McKirdy (28')
McKirdy (28'), Webster (47'), Major (69'), Vela (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Carlisle United and Bromley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Carlisle 1-2 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bromley 2-2 Walsall
Thursday, March 13 at 8pm in League Two

We said: Carlisle United 1-2 Bromley

At some point, Carlisle will need to throw caution to the wind with draws not enough at this stage. That may come against an inconsistent Bromley side, yet we still feel that the visitors will do enough to come through with the three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Bromley had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Bromley win was 0-1 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawBromley
40.58% (-0.153 -0.15) 27.05% (0.117 0.12) 32.36% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 50.14% (-0.348 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.93% (-0.448 -0.45)55.07% (0.447 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.67% (-0.371 -0.37)76.33% (0.36999999999999 0.37)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.36% (-0.29000000000001 -0.29)26.64% (0.289 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.12% (-0.38500000000001 -0.39)61.88% (0.384 0.38)
Bromley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.36% (-0.20399999999999 -0.2)31.64% (0.203 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.95% (-0.236 -0.24)68.05% (0.235 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 40.58%
    Bromley 32.36%
    Draw 27.05%
Carlisle UnitedDrawBromley
1-0 @ 11.15% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 8.49% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.37% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.74% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.25% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.24% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 40.58%
1-1 @ 12.83% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.43% (0.145 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.88% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.05%
0-1 @ 9.7% (0.114 0.11)
1-2 @ 7.38% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.58% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.83% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.14% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 32.36%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Bromley

Carlisle United
50.0%
Draw
25.0%
Bromley
25.0%
12
Head to Head
Nov 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 16
Bromley
1-1
Carlisle
Cheek (54' pen.)
Thompson (57')
Leigh (83')
Adu-Adjei (90+2')
Guy (37'), Mellish (43'), Burey (51'), Charters (67'), Lavelle (83'), Sadi (90'), Barclay (90+7')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale432113961431876
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster4321121066481875
3Bradford CityBradford4321111159401974
4Walsall4320131074532173
5AFC Wimbledon4319131155322370
6Notts County4319121263441969
7Colchester UnitedColchester431618951401166
8Grimsby Town43206175964-566
9Chesterfield4317121465501563
10Salford City431614135550562
11Crewe AlexandraCrewe431517114944562
12Swindon TownSwindon431515137061960
13Bromley431514145756159
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood431415145756157
15BarrowBarrow431511174947256
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham431412175564-954
17Gillingham431215163845-751
18Newport CountyNewport43139215170-1948
19MK Dons43138225166-1547
20Harrogate TownHarrogate431211203756-1947
21Accrington StanleyAccrington431113195167-1646
22Tranmere RoversTranmere431014193964-2544
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle431010233965-2640
24Morecambe43106273763-2636


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