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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 26
Mar 25, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Brunton Park
MK Dons

Carlisle
vs.
MK Dons

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Carlisle United and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tranmere 1-0 Carlisle
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 0-1 Salford City
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in League Two

We say: Carlisle United 1-2 MK Dons

Given MK Dons' poor run of form, Carlisle will be optimistic of earning at least a share of the spoils. However, we feel that the visitors will do enough to scrape maximum points here, even if it is in a war of attrition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 44.41%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%).

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawMK Dons
30.45% (0.62 0.62) 25.15% (0.127 0.13) 44.41% (-0.744 -0.74)
Both teams to score 55.43% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.11% (-0.252 -0.25)47.89% (0.256 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.93% (-0.232 -0.23)70.07% (0.235 0.23)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.68% (0.30199999999999 0.3)29.32% (-0.298 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.7% (0.367 0.37)65.3% (-0.36399999999999 -0.36)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.43% (-0.44 -0.44)21.57% (0.444 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.34% (-0.683 -0.68)54.66% (0.686 0.69)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 30.45%
    MK Dons 44.41%
    Draw 25.14%
Carlisle UnitedDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 7.76% (0.145 0.15)
2-1 @ 7.3% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 4.76% (0.128 0.13)
3-1 @ 2.99% (0.066 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.95% (0.068 0.07)
4-1 @ 0.92% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 30.45%
1-1 @ 11.9% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.33% (0.067 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.6% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.14%
0-1 @ 9.7% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.13% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-2 @ 7.44% (-0.123 -0.12)
1-3 @ 4.67% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-3 @ 3.8% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.86% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.79% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.46% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.1% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 44.41%

Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 3
MK Dons
3-0
Carlisle
Hendry (18'), Gilbey (31'), Tomlinson (90+2')
Wearne (38'), Nemane (75'), Tripp (90+8')
Feb 16, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 33
Carlisle
2-3
MK Dons
Scougall (14' pen.), Hope (90')
McGrandles (11'), Hesketh (69'), Agard (77')
Cargill (14'), McGrandles (60'), Moore (81'), Aneke (83')
Dec 8, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 21
MK Dons
2-0
Carlisle
Houghton (50'), Agard (65')

Slater (31'), Gillesphey (60')
Jan 28, 2014 7.45pm
Oct 22, 2013 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall29185655322359
2Notts County29158647281953
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster3015784437752
4Bradford CityBradford29148739281150
5AFC Wimbledon28147739201949
6Port Vale29131063832649
7Salford City3013983829948
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe30121263628848
9Grimsby Town30143134246-445
10Chesterfield29119948341442
11Colchester UnitedColchester2991373530540
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood2810993935439
13Bromley3091294040039
14MK Dons29115134241138
15Swindon TownSwindon31911114647-138
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham29108113741-438
17Newport CountyNewport29106134047-736
18BarrowBarrow2997133032-234
19Gillingham2895142532-732
20Accrington StanleyAccrington2879123445-1130
21Harrogate TownHarrogate3186172542-1730
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2968152148-2726
23Morecambe3065192748-2123
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2956182348-2521


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