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Walsall
Forest Green Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 18
Nov 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
The New Lawn
Grimsby Town

Forest Green
2 - 2
Grimsby Town

McAllister (37' pen., 44')
Bernard (6')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Wilson (65', 80')
Rose (5'), Holohan (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Forest Green Rovers and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Forest Green Rovers 2-2 Grimsby Town

Both Forest Green and Grimsby enter Saturday's clash in buoyant mood following their midweek FA Cup victories, and the two teams will view this fixture as a winnable game in their quest to steer themselves away from danger in League Two. Grimsby's dismal away record bodes well for Forest Green, but we believe that the visitors will do enough to claim a share of the spoils in an entertaining contest at the New Lawn. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 45.64%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawGrimsby Town
45.64% (1.477 1.48) 24.34% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07) 30.02% (-1.398 -1.4)
Both teams to score 57.93% (-0.491 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.5% (-0.314 -0.31)44.5% (0.319 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.13% (-0.304 -0.3)66.87% (0.309 0.31)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.37% (0.508 0.51)19.64% (-0.502 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.4% (0.815 0.81)51.6% (-0.811 -0.81)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.09% (-1.069 -1.07)27.91% (1.074 1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.47% (-1.388 -1.39)63.53% (1.394 1.39)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 45.64%
    Grimsby Town 30.02%
    Draw 24.33%
Forest Green RoversDrawGrimsby Town
2-1 @ 9.27% (0.138 0.14)
1-0 @ 8.92% (0.26 0.26)
2-0 @ 7.26% (0.321 0.32)
3-1 @ 5.03% (0.152 0.15)
3-0 @ 3.94% (0.233 0.23)
3-2 @ 3.21% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 2.05% (0.093 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.6% (0.119 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 45.64%
1-1 @ 11.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.91% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
0-0 @ 5.48% (0.075 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.33%
1-2 @ 7.26% (-0.229 -0.23)
0-1 @ 6.99% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-2 @ 4.46% (-0.214 -0.21)
1-3 @ 3.09% (-0.195 -0.2)
2-3 @ 2.52% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.9% (-0.152 -0.15)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 30.02%

How you voted: Forest Green vs Grimsby Town

Forest Green Rovers
60.0%
Draw
35.0%
Grimsby Town
5.0%
20
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 34
Grimsby Town
1-2
Forest Green
Hanson (38')
Matete (30')
Matt (19' pen.), Adams (66')
Oct 27, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 9
Forest Green
1-0
Grimsby Town
Young (24')
Winchester (48'), Godwin-Malife (90+4')

Taylor (90+2'), Green (90+3')
Feb 1, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 31
Grimsby Town
2-2
Forest Green
Whitehouse (19'), Driscoll-Glennon (53')
Clifton (35'), Hendrie (91')
Bailey (32'), Aitchison (50')
Kitching (44'), Winchester (55')
Aug 17, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 3
Forest Green
1-0
Grimsby Town
Mondal (75')
Winchester (31')
Jan 22, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Forest Green
3-0
Grimsby Town
Doidge (29', 45'), Brown (50')

Ohman (49'), Rose (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall36208865412468
2Bradford CityBradford36199848301866
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster361881053431062
4AFC Wimbledon35179946232360
5Notts County351610953371658
6Port Vale34151364335858
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe36141484437756
8Grimsby Town35175135151056
9Colchester UnitedColchester35121674032852
10Bromley361312114643351
11Salford City351311114337650
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood361213114943649
13Swindon TownSwindon361113125252046
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham351210134650-446
15Chesterfield34129135243945
16BarrowBarrow35127163841-343
17Newport CountyNewport35127164556-1143
18MK Dons35126174650-442
19Gillingham35118163038-841
20Harrogate TownHarrogate36117182945-1640
21Accrington StanleyAccrington3599173954-1536
22Tranmere RoversTranmere36712172755-2833
23Morecambe3685233154-2329
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3569202551-2627


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