Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 67.61%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Walsall had a probability of 11.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.2%) and 1-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Walsall win it was 1-0 (5%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.