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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Wrexham AFC
League Two | Gameweek 13
Oct 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
Salford City

Wrexham
3 - 2
Salford City

Lee (39'), Fletcher (88'), Davies (89')
Jones (45+2'), O'Connell (75'), Mullin (80')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Smith (15', 36')
Ingram (45+1'), Tilt (45+2'), Shephard (60'), Bolton (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Wrexham and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crewe 0-3 Wrexham
Tuesday, October 10 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Salford City 1-3 Stockport
Tuesday, October 10 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Wrexham 2-1 Salford City

There is still an awful lot of football to be played this season, but this feels like a very big football match for a number of reasons. Salford will be looking to flex their muscles, but Wrexham are in a good place at the moment, and we are expecting the home side to navigate their way to all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 56.79%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 22.13% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.96%) and 1-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawSalford City
56.79% (0.0040000000000049 0) 21.07% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 22.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 61.6% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.8% (0.045999999999999 0.05)36.19% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.69% (0.050999999999995 0.05)58.31% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.32% (0.016999999999996 0.02)12.68% (-0.019 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.13% (0.033000000000001 0.03)38.86% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.55% (0.031000000000006 0.03)29.45% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.54% (0.039000000000001 0.04)65.45% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 56.79%
    Salford City 22.13%
    Draw 21.07%
WrexhamDrawSalford City
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.96% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.71% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 5.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 4.1% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 3.46% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 2.83%
4-2 @ 2.12% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.43% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.17% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 4.1%
Total : 56.79%
1-1 @ 9.43% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.95% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 3.73% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.67% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 21.07%
1-2 @ 5.76%
0-1 @ 4.57% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.79% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.43% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 2.35% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 22.13%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Salford City

Wrexham
52.9%
Draw
35.3%
Salford City
11.8%
17
Head to Head
Jan 1, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 33
Salford City
2-0
Wrexham
Green (23'), Gaffney (60')

Pearson (51'), Young (70')
Dec 26, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 31
Wrexham
5-1
Salford City
Pearson (3'), Wright (24'), Walker (45'), Tollitt (86'), Holroyd (90')
Whitehead (90')
Pond (45'), Piergianni (47'), Mafuta (64'), Walker (73'), Touray (75')
Walker (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall29185655322359
2Notts County29158647281953
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster3015784437752
4Bradford CityBradford29148739281150
5AFC Wimbledon28147739201949
6Port Vale29131063832649
7Salford City3013983829948
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe30121263628848
9Grimsby Town30143134246-445
10Chesterfield29119948341442
11Colchester UnitedColchester2991373530540
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood2810993935439
13Bromley3091294040039
14MK Dons29115134241138
15Swindon TownSwindon31911114647-138
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham29108113741-438
17Newport CountyNewport29106134047-736
18BarrowBarrow2997133032-234
19Gillingham2895142532-732
20Accrington StanleyAccrington2879123445-1130
21Harrogate TownHarrogate3186172542-1730
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2968152148-2726
23Morecambe3065192748-2123
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2956182348-2521


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