Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 47.39%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 0-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
