Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colorado Rapids win with a probability of 60.22%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 18.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colorado Rapids win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.09%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Colorado Rapids would win this match.