Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 48.62%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 26.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.48%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.
