We said: Brest 1-2 Toulouse
Having given so much to get over the line in such an emotionally-charged encounter in the Champions League on Thursday, Brest may be slightly leggy against a much fresher Toulouse side who enter the game on the back of a good win last weekend.
An underwhelming start suggests Brest will not hit the same heights as last season, and another defeat here will have them awkwardly looking over their shoulder.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 46.5%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 26.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Toulouse win it was 0-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.
0.38) 
-0.45) 
