Ligue 1 | Gameweek 7
Oct 5, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
St Etienne3 - 1Auxerre
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nantes 2-2 St Etienne
Sunday, September 29 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, September 29 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Auxerre 3-0 Brest
Friday, September 27 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Friday, September 27 at 6pm in Ligue 1
We said: Saint-Etienne 0-0 Auxerre
Draws have been commonplace in meetings between these two sides, and as two of Ligue 1's weaker outfits, an underwhelming clash could be on the cards. Auxerre did thrash Brest 3-0 last weekend, but have not been able replicate any sort of form on the road, while the hosts are struggling to adjust to life back at the top, and look set to remain in the relegation places. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 33.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint-Etienne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Auxerre |
41.27% ( 0.84) | 25.59% ( 0.05) | 33.13% ( -0.9) |
| Both teams to score 55.04% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
