Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 49.05%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 25.97% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.69%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-0 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
