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Caen
Ligue 2 | Gameweek 4
Aug 26, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade Michel d'Ornano
AC Ajaccio

Caen
3 - 0
Ajaccio

Avinel (36' og.), Mendy (45', 63')
Kyeremeh (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Bayala (53'), Bammou (66')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Caen and Ajaccio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Concarneau 0-2 Caen
Saturday, August 19 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Ajaccio 0-0 Bordeaux
Monday, August 21 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 46.3%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 26.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.25%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.

Result
CaenDrawAjaccio
46.3% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 27.67% (0.00099999999999767 0) 26.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 45.1% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.1% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)59.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)80.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Caen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)25.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.11% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)60.89% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.86% (0.00099999999999767 0)39.14% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.15% (0.0019999999999989 0)75.85% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Score Analysis
    Caen 46.3%
    Ajaccio 26.03%
    Draw 27.66%
CaenDrawAjaccio
1-0 @ 13.69%
2-0 @ 9.25% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 8.68%
3-0 @ 4.17%
3-1 @ 3.91%
3-2 @ 1.83%
4-0 @ 1.41% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.32% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 46.3%
1-1 @ 12.84%
0-0 @ 10.13%
2-2 @ 4.07%
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.66%
0-1 @ 9.51% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 6.03% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 4.46% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 1.88%
0-3 @ 1.4%
2-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 26.03%

Head to Head
Jan 24, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Caen
2-0
Ajaccio
Mendy (65' pen.), Deminguet (90')
Vandermersch (80'), Lepenant (86')
Aug 25, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 4
Ajaccio
2-0
Caen
Botue (1'), Gonzalez (75')
Courtet (53'), Kalulu (85')

Deminguet (53'), Lepenant (70')
Mendy (80')
Jan 16, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 20
Ajaccio
1-0
Caen
Moussiti-Oko (6')
Avinel (33')

Gioacchini (61')
Aug 29, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 2
Caen
1-0
Ajaccio
Bammou (18' pen.)

Ismael (18'), Moussiti-Oko (60'), Mattoir (62'), Coutadeur (65')
Jan 24, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 21
Caen
0-1
Ajaccio

Beka Beka (3'), Jeannot (35'), Tchokounte (61')
Jeannot (35')
Youssouf (92')
Ismael (65'), Tramoni (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lorient26164645261952
2Paris FCParis FC26164642251752
3Metz26148444192550
4DunkerqueDunkerque2615383931848
5GuingampGuingamp261331043331042
6Laval2611783325840
7Annecy2611693236-439
8Bastia2681352923637
9Grenoble26106103231136
10Troyes26103132826233
11PauPau268992835-733
12Red Star2695122840-1232
13Ajaccio2694132332-931
14Rodez AFRodez AF2686124543230
15AmiensAmiens2693142640-1430
16Clermont2667132235-1325
17Martigues2673161841-2324
18Caen2654172238-1619


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