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Major League Soccer
May 5, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
New York Red Bulls

Inter Miami
6 - 2
NY Red Bulls

Rojas (48', 62'), Messi (50'), Suarez (68', 75', 81')
Aviles (57')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vanzeir (30'), Forsberg (90+7' pen.)
Tolkin (25'), Duncan (38'), Carmona (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 1-1 Vancouver
Sunday, April 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Inter Miami 4-2 New York Red Bulls

The Red Bulls embarrassed Miami when they squared off in March, and that will likely be in the back of the minds of the Herons when they take the field on Saturday, and we believe that added motivation will power Messi and company to another big victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 55.55%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 22.73% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (5.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawNew York Red Bulls
55.55% (5.172 5.17) 21.72% (-1.955 -1.96) 22.73% (-3.217 -3.22)
Both teams to score 60.1% (3.07 3.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.46% (5.743 5.74)38.53% (-5.743 -5.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.17% (5.823 5.82)60.83% (-5.824 -5.82)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.17% (3.825 3.83)13.83% (-3.826 -3.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.81% (7.082 7.08)41.18% (-7.082 -7.08)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.74% (0.488 0.49)30.25% (-0.489 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.57% (0.581 0.58)66.42% (-0.58199999999999 -0.58)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 55.55%
    New York Red Bulls 22.73%
    Draw 21.72%
Inter MiamiDrawNew York Red Bulls
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.162 0.16)
1-0 @ 8.28% (-1.135 -1.14)
2-0 @ 8.19% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.46% (0.891 0.89)
3-0 @ 5.4% (0.682 0.68)
3-2 @ 3.86% (0.577 0.58)
4-1 @ 3.19% (0.78 0.78)
4-0 @ 2.67% (0.625 0.63)
4-2 @ 1.91% (0.486 0.49)
5-1 @ 1.26% (0.427 0.43)
5-0 @ 1.06% (0.347 0.35)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 55.55%
1-1 @ 9.9% (-1.205 -1.21)
2-2 @ 5.85% (0.175 0.18)
0-0 @ 4.18% (-1.244 -1.24)
3-3 @ 1.54% (0.248 0.25)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 21.72%
1-2 @ 5.92% (-0.632 -0.63)
0-1 @ 5% (-1.4 -1.4)
0-2 @ 2.99% (-0.785 -0.79)
1-3 @ 2.36% (-0.217 -0.22)
2-3 @ 2.33% (0.1 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.293 -0.29)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 22.73%

How you voted: Inter Miami vs NY Red Bulls

Inter Miami
89.4%
Draw
6.4%
New York Red Bulls
4.3%
47
Head to Head
Mar 23, 2024 6pm
NY Red Bulls
4-0
Inter Miami
Morgan (3', 51', 70'), Carmona (66')

Krivtsov (11'), Suarez (25'), Allen (84')
Aug 27, 2023 12.30am
Jun 1, 2023 1.15am
Inter Miami
0-1
NY Red Bulls

Miller (70')
Barlow (52')
Duncan (8'), Lesesne (9'), Harper (61'), Reyes (70')
Harper (90+4')
Aug 28, 2022 12am
NY Red Bulls
3-1
Inter Miami
Duncan (36'), Long (42'), Tolkin (80')
Duncan (70')
Mota (34')
Pozuelo (29')
May 22, 2022 11pm
Inter Miami
2-0
NY Red Bulls
Lassiter (29'), Taylor (88')
Gregore (23'), Vassilev (54')

Long (60'), Nealis (81'), Nealis (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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