Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nashville SC in this match.
