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National League South | Gameweek 28
Mar 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Paddy Power Park

Farnborough
1 - 0
Welling United

Kuhl (40')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Farnborough Town and Welling United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Farnborough 1-3 Yeovil
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 2-2 Braintree
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 57.56%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 21.27% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.42%) and 1-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Welling United win was 1-2 (5.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Farnborough Town would win this match.

Result
Farnborough TownDrawWelling United
57.56% (0.091999999999999 0.09) 21.16% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 21.27% (-0.081 -0.08)
Both teams to score 59.97% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.23% (-0.061 -0.06)37.77% (0.064 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.99% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)60.01% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Farnborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.04% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)12.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.55% (0.012999999999998 0.01)39.45% (-0.012 -0.01)
Welling United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.9% (-0.107 -0.11)31.1% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.57% (-0.125 -0.13)67.43% (0.127 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Farnborough Town 57.56%
    Welling United 21.27%
    Draw 21.16%
Farnborough TownDrawWelling United
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.42% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.24% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.69% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 5.73% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.91% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.93% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 2% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.4% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.2% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 57.56%
1-1 @ 9.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.74% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.03% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 21.16%
1-2 @ 5.62% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.71%
0-2 @ 2.75% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.19% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.07% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 21.27%

Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 11
Welling United
2-2
Farnborough
Odusanya (27'), Bramble (87')
Pendlebury (45+7'), Gifford (90')
Mar 7, 2023 7.45pm
Dec 6, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Welling United
1-2
Farnborough
Payne (78')
Kasimu (27'), Pendlebury (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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