MX23RW : Friday, July 26 23:59:52| >> :300:86500:86500:
National League South | Gameweek 35
Feb 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Park View Road

Welling United
4 - 1
Worthing

Grant (44'), Grant (59'), Fish (90+10', 90+11')
Grant (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Pearce (65' pen.)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Welling United and Worthing.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Welling United 2-2 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 1-4 Worthing
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 56.93%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Welling United win it was 1-0 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Welling UnitedDrawWorthing
20.5% (1.485 1.49) 22.56% (0.198 0.2) 56.93% (-1.687 -1.69)
Both teams to score 53.93% (1.807 1.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.82% (1.193 1.19)45.18% (-1.196 -1.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.47% (1.135 1.14)67.52% (-1.136 -1.14)
Welling United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.93% (2.253 2.25)36.07% (-2.254 -2.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.14% (2.227 2.23)72.85% (-2.229 -2.23)
Worthing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.35% (-0.15400000000001 -0.15)15.64% (0.151 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.33% (-0.284 -0.28)44.66% (0.281 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Welling United 20.5%
    Worthing 56.93%
    Draw 22.56%
Welling UnitedDrawWorthing
1-0 @ 5.75% (0.059 0.06)
2-1 @ 5.44% (0.35 0.35)
2-0 @ 2.93% (0.203 0.2)
3-1 @ 1.85% (0.222 0.22)
3-2 @ 1.72% (0.198 0.2)
3-0 @ 1% (0.124 0.12)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 20.5%
1-1 @ 10.67% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.64% (-0.295 -0.3)
2-2 @ 5.05% (0.3 0.3)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.117 0.12)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.56%
0-1 @ 10.46% (-0.61 -0.61)
1-2 @ 9.9%
0-2 @ 9.71% (-0.61 -0.61)
1-3 @ 6.12% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 6% (-0.414 -0.41)
2-3 @ 3.12% (0.17 0.17)
1-4 @ 2.84% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-4 @ 2.79% (-0.207 -0.21)
2-4 @ 1.45% (0.072 0.07)
1-5 @ 1.05% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-5 @ 1.03% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 56.93%

Head to Head
Sep 5, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Worthing
2-0
Welling United
Pearce (69' pen.), Aguiar (79')
Jan 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Worthing
3-2
Welling United
Pearce (18'), White (37', 62')
Maloney (69' pen.), Nkrumah (85')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Welling United
2-4
Worthing
Hyde (6'), Azeez (31')
Kealy (5', 57'), White (19'), Rye (26')
rhs 2.0
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