National League South | Gameweek 38
Mar 9, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Treyew Road
Truro City1 - 4Chelmsford City
Coverage of the National League South clash between Truro City and Chelmsford City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Truro City 2-0 Taunton Town
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
44
Last Game: Chelmsford City 0-1 Worthing
Monday, March 4 at 7.45pm in National League South
Monday, March 4 at 7.45pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
57
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 47.18%. A win for Truro City had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Truro City win was 1-0 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Truro City | Draw | Chelmsford City |
27.61% ( 0.01) | 25.2% ( 0.01) | 47.18% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.44% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
