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National League South | Gameweek 12
Mar 4, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Melbourne Cricket Ground

Chelmsford City
0 - 1
Worthing

FT(HT: 0-0)
Wadham (87')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Worthing.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelmsford City 2-0 Aveley
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 0-1 Braintree
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 41.15%. A win for Worthing had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Worthing win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result
Chelmsford CityDrawWorthing
41.15% (1.776 1.78) 26.43% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03) 32.42% (-1.745 -1.75)
Both teams to score 52.1% (-0.348 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.42% (-0.245 -0.25)52.58% (0.246 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.76% (-0.21 -0.21)74.23% (0.212 0.21)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.79% (0.83200000000001 0.83)25.2% (-0.832 -0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.06% (1.134 1.13)59.94% (-1.133 -1.13)
Worthing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.66% (-1.253 -1.25)30.34% (1.255 1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.47% (-1.522 -1.52)66.53% (1.524 1.52)
Score Analysis
    Chelmsford City 41.14%
    Worthing 32.42%
    Draw 26.43%
Chelmsford CityDrawWorthing
1-0 @ 10.53% (0.34 0.34)
2-1 @ 8.66% (0.195 0.2)
2-0 @ 7.26% (0.405 0.4)
3-1 @ 3.98% (0.181 0.18)
3-0 @ 3.34% (0.26 0.26)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.093 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.15% (0.115 0.12)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 41.14%
1-1 @ 12.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.65% (0.074 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.43%
0-1 @ 9.12% (-0.232 -0.23)
1-2 @ 7.5% (-0.275 -0.27)
0-2 @ 5.44% (-0.335 -0.34)
1-3 @ 2.98% (-0.219 -0.22)
0-3 @ 2.16% (-0.215 -0.22)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.099 -0.1)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 32.42%

Head to Head
Jan 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 27
Worthing
2-3
Chelmsford City
Pearce (26', 90+6')
Hockey (1'), Ruff (18'), Francis (83')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 39
Chelmsford City
4-2
Worthing
Trotter (37'), Folivi (49'), Krasniqi (83' pen.), Hockey (89')
Pearce (11', 45+3')
Nov 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 20
Worthing
1-3
Chelmsford City
Kealy (35')
Yearn (21'), James (24'), Blackwell (59')
rhs 2.0
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