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Eastleigh
Ebbsfleet United
Forest Green Rovers
AFC Fylde
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Hartlepool United
Maidenhead United
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Southend United
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Woking
Yeovil Town
National League | Gameweek 46
Apr 20, 2024 at 12.15pm UK
Meadowbank Stadium
Hartlepool United

Dorking
3 - 4
Hartlepool

Carter (7'), Muitt (51', 77')
Blair (70')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Dieseruvwe (11', 43'), Fuller (12' og.), Grey (59')
Coverage of the National League clash between Dorking Wanderers and Hartlepool United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rochdale 1-1 Dorking
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Hartlepool 1-1 Dag & Red
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 44.18%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.35%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.

Result
Dorking WanderersDrawHartlepool United
32.4% (0.575 0.58) 23.42% (0.311 0.31) 44.18% (-0.889 -0.89)
Both teams to score 62.45% (-0.879 -0.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.9% (-1.266 -1.27)39.1% (1.264 1.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.57% (-1.342 -1.34)61.42% (1.34 1.34)
Dorking Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.22% (-0.27500000000001 -0.28)23.78% (0.273 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.07% (-0.396 -0.4)57.93% (0.392 0.39)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.93% (-0.857 -0.86)18.07% (0.855 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.02% (-1.486 -1.49)48.98% (1.483 1.48)
Score Analysis
    Dorking Wanderers 32.4%
    Hartlepool United 44.18%
    Draw 23.41%
Dorking WanderersDrawHartlepool United
2-1 @ 7.58% (0.122 0.12)
1-0 @ 6.17% (0.313 0.31)
2-0 @ 4.43% (0.191 0.19)
3-1 @ 3.63% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.12% (0.075 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.3%
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 32.4%
1-1 @ 10.55% (0.25 0.25)
2-2 @ 6.49% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4.3% (0.25 0.25)
3-3 @ 1.77% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.41%
1-2 @ 9.03% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-1 @ 7.35% (0.232 0.23)
0-2 @ 6.29% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 5.15% (-0.167 -0.17)
2-3 @ 3.7% (-0.151 -0.15)
0-3 @ 3.59% (-0.086 -0.09)
1-4 @ 2.2% (-0.136 -0.14)
2-4 @ 1.58% (-0.111 -0.11)
0-4 @ 1.53% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 44.18%

Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Hartlepool
0-2
Dorking

Crawford (31')
Prior (63'), Blair (87')
Gallagher (59')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Gateshead75201651117
2Eastleigh7511126616
3Rochdale7421102814
4Forest Green RoversForest Green7421126614
5York City7421105514
6Barnet7403149512
7Yeovil TownYeovil74031211112
8Aldershot TownAldershot73131514110
9Oldham AthleticOldham724198110
10Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool724154110
11AltrinchamAltrincham731389-110
12Woking731378-110
13Sutton UnitedSutton723211929
14Halifax TownHalifax72325509
15Solihull MoorsSolihull722389-18
16Southend UnitedSouthend61417617
17Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red714279-27
18Braintree TownBraintree714236-37
19Boston UnitedBoston7214713-67
20Fylde6123912-35
21Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead7124811-35
22WealdstoneWealdstone712448-45
23Tamworth7124515-105
24Ebbsfleet7016418-141


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