Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 43.47%. A win for Halifax Town had a probability of 31.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Halifax Town win was 0-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.
