Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 59.67%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 19.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.41%) and 1-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%), while for a Maidenhead United win it was 1-2 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.